Reality

6:10 a.m. E.T.

There’s no question that the same factors that are jazzing up Republicans are making some elite Democrats more nervous about the presidential race than they have been all year. These include the Gallup data on early voting and the various public polls in Oregon, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota showing Romney within striking distance. And, in the last few days, the news of fresh TV advertising in some of these states from both sides has created a mini media narrative of Mittmentum.

But the latest polls in Ohio, Virginia, and Florida from Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times show Obama with a significant lead in Ohio and holding even in the other two contests.

In the end, if Chicago is right and President Obama maintains a small but significant lead in Ohio, Romney’s “comeback” could be more natural tightening than game-changing surge.

Of course, Boston will say this new Ohio poll has it all wrong, assuming an electorate that won’t match reality. And Romney DOES potentially have an Ohio-less path or two.

But the Wednesday data so far puts the brakes a bit on the GOP euphoria and Democratic concern.

Related Topics: Barack Obama, CBS News, Mark Halperin, Mitt Romney, New York Times, Quinnipiac University, 2012 Elections, Analysis

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