Fundamentals

Swirling news, aggressive campaign tactics, and lots of polls don’t — and won’t — change the basics:

  1. Neither Chicago nor Boston expects either candidate to establish a meaningful lead anytime soon, if ever.
  2. Neither side has expanded its electoral college map — yet.
  3. Chicago needs to disqualify Romney to win.
  4. Neither candidate is talking about the hard choices required to deal with the Fiscal Cliff — yet.
  5. No campaign is ever truly happy with the content of outside group TV advertising.
  6. Neither candidate/campaign has a warm-and-fuzzy relationship with the congressional wing of its party. It isn’t quite “every person for her/himself,” but it is close.
  7. Obama and Romney spend an enormous amount of their time fundraising.
  8. If you follow the campaign on cable TV, talk radio, Twitter, and blogs, you would think Americans are the angriest and most partisan people in the history of the universe.
  9. Most of the voters who will decide this election aren’t paying much attention to politics right now.
  10. Romney’s chances of winning are highly dependent on how well he executes his VP pick, convention speech, and the debates.
Related Topics: Barack Obama, Mark Halperin, Mitt Romney, 2012 Elections, Analysis, News, Republican Party, The Page, White House

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