Newt’s Theory of the Race

At a Plymouth, NH press availability, former Speaker explains to Mark Halperin how Romney can and will be beaten, even if he continues to win primaries and caucuses.

Gingrich: “Eventually you’ll get down to one conservative and Governor Romney and he’ll continue to get 25 percent. Now, by definition, at some point in that game, somebody else is going to start getting a lot more votes than Governor Romney… If he wins at 25 percent, this would be the weakest frontrunner in history.”

Watch the video above and read the exchange below.

Halperin: “Mr. Speaker, you’ve got five candidates, who, after the Iowa caucuses, are still in the race, making the case. You’re making a case here, a little bit differently, more aggressively than you did in Iowa. But it’s still the case that there are five of you going to be dividing the vote against Governor Romney.”

Gingrich: “Yes.”

Halperin: “Use your political experience and explain. You seem to think Governor Romney will do well here. Play out after New Hampshire, how do you stop Governor Romney if there are so many candidates in the race?”

Gingrich: “Well, you have proportional representation, what, I think, all the way through March. So Governor Romney got 25 percent and the conservatives got 75 percent. Governor Romney will do reasonably well here because it is probably one of his three best states. But we’ll see whether he gets the majority even here and this is one of his three best states. We’ll go South. He’s not going to be anywhere near getting enough votes per state to become the nominee. And, gradually, you’re going to see — we have a difference of opinion, you know, about which will be the last conservative standing. But, I think, eventually you’ll get down to one conservative and Governor Romney and he’ll continue to get 25 percent. Now, by definition, at some point in that game, somebody else is going to start getting a lot more votes than Governor Romney.”

Halperin: “So even if he wins Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida, with a plurality?”

Gingrich: “Depends what he wins it with. If he wins at 25 percent, this would be the weakest frontrunner in history.”

Related Topics: Mark Halperin, Newt Gingrich, 2012 Elections, News, Original Video, Republican Party, The Page, Video

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