NBC News/Marist Hawkeye State poll finds ex-Speaker leads the pack, gains 21 points since Oct. survey among likely caucus goers.
Gingrich 26
Romney 18
Paul 17
Cain 9
Perry 9
Poll conducted Nov. 27 — 29, 2011. Margin of error 3.2 points.
Romney better hope Paul beats Gingrich in Iowa. He is in danger of a Hillary Clinton 2008 situation, where he has devoted too few resources to win but spends at the end in a way that skews expectations.
