The Obama campaign manager says McCain would have to win 15% of the Democratic vote, 95% of the Republican and 60% of the independent vote to take the battleground.

“It’s a daunting task when you kind of wipe away the spin here and look at the facts.”

Adds that even though the stats don’t look good for their rival, they’ll continue to match their campaigning effort in the state.

National field director Jon Carson and battleground state director Jen O’Malley also weigh in on the state of the race.

Also releases memo detailing early voting stats. Read it here.